Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.533241 0.593491 0.658603 0.734335 0.820168 0.914620 1.026694
2025-03-30 0.429790 0.510674 0.604841 0.723144 0.868591 1.042581 1.267987
2025-04-06 0.373740 0.463597 0.573508 0.718953 0.908025 1.147750 1.478315
2025-04-13 0.322943 0.414102 0.529956 0.689651 0.906644 1.194946 1.613254
2025-04-20 0.297217 0.392536 0.517898 0.697184 0.950836 1.302693 1.838056
2025-04-27 0.276402 0.374677 0.507907 0.704821 0.993746 1.410577 2.073160
2025-05-04 0.258280 0.358377 0.497832 0.710190 1.032321 1.514194 2.312039
2025-05-11 0.241730 0.342567 0.486576 0.711936 1.064433 1.609757 2.547852
2025-05-18 0.229200 0.331338 0.480667 0.720503 1.106838 1.724253 2.826735
2025-05-25 0.211851 0.311490 0.460109 0.704194 1.107496 1.770521 2.993874
2025-06-01 0.202908 0.303630 0.457023 0.714905 1.152558 1.893956 3.310659
2025-06-08 0.191231 0.290619 0.444792 0.709418 1.169382 1.969873 3.548840
2025-06-15 0.182841 0.282399 0.439838 0.716040 1.208438 2.090362 3.890337
2025-06-22 0.171864 0.269285 0.426010 0.706392 1.217764 2.157837 4.137214
2025-06-29 0.162957 0.258926 0.415923 0.702233 1.236286 2.243752 4.432148
2025-07-06 0.150443 0.241762 0.393196 0.673710 1.206663 2.233650 4.522763
2025-07-13 0.145176 0.236498 0.390438 0.681043 1.245669 2.362358 4.931855
2025-07-20 0.140312 0.231591 0.387912 0.688479 1.285342 2.496279 5.371595
2025-07-27 0.135443 0.226358 0.384416 0.693706 1.320904 2.625144 5.818254
2025-08-03 0.130386 0.220474 0.379335 0.695406 1.349267 2.741390 6.251677
2025-08-10 0.126610 0.216653 0.377745 0.703746 1.392100 2.893780 6.798257
2025-08-17 0.119781 0.206896 0.364536 0.687869 1.381796 2.925367 7.039023
2025-08-24 0.116851 0.204147 0.364320 0.698296 1.429533 3.095597 7.673868